Tags: Inflation

Where Do Economists Think We’re Headed? These Are Their Predictions

Where Do Economists Think We’re Headed? These Are Their Predictions

By Sam Goldfarb, Peter Santilli and Anthony DeBarros The Wall Street Journal’s latest quarterly survey of business and academic economists shows forecasters remain firmly optimistic about the economic outlook, despite some hints of weakness in recent data. The following graphics show what economists are thinking now and how their forecasts—and the economy—have evolved over recent months and years. After looking at […]

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Fed’s Key Inflation Gauges May Offer Path to Rate Cuts

Fed’s Key Inflation Gauges May Offer Path to Rate Cuts

By Vince Golle and Craig Stirling The Federal Reserve’s favored inflation yardsticks are poised to show the tamest monthly advances since late last year — a stepping stone for officials to begin lowering interest rates, possibly as soon as September. Economists expect no change in the May personal consumption expenditures price index and a minimal 0.1% gain in the core measure that excludes […]

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Fed Cuts Rates by Half Percentage Point

Fed Cuts Rates by Half Percentage Point

By Nick Timiraos The Federal Reserve voted to lower interest rates by a half percentage point, opting for a bolder start in making its first reduction since 2020. The long-anticipated pivot followed an all-out fight against inflation the central bank launched two years ago. Eleven of 12 Fed voters backed the cut, which will bring the […]

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Treasuries Surge as Traders Bet on Emergency Fed Rate Cut

Treasuries Surge as Traders Bet on Emergency Fed Rate Cut

By Michael Mackenzie and Liz Capo McCormick Bond traders are piling into bets that the US economy is on the verge of deteriorating so quickly that the Federal Reserve will need to start easing monetary policy aggressively — potentially before their next scheduled meeting — to head off a recession. Previous worries about the risk of elevated inflation have virtually disappeared, swiftly […]

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Goolsbee Says Fed Won’t Overreact to One Month’s Data

Goolsbee Says Fed Won’t Overreact to One Month’s Data

By Catarina Saraiva and Ananya Chag Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee emphasized the central bank will not overreact to any one report, adding policymakers will get a lot of data prior to the Fed’s next meeting. Goolsbee, who spoke on the heels of the release of a weaker-than-expected employment report, said it’s the Fed’s job to figure out […]

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Federal Reserve minutes: Policymakers saw a longer path to rate cuts

Federal Reserve minutes: Policymakers saw a longer path to rate cuts

BY CHRISTOPHER RUGABER WASHINGTON (AP) — After several unexpectedly high inflation readings, Federal Reserve officials concluded at a meeting earlier this month that it would take longer than they previously thought for inflation to cool enough to justify reducing their key interest rate, now at a 23-year high. Minutes of the May 1 meeting, released Wednesday, showed that […]

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