U.S. Multifamily Vacancy Forecast: When Will Apartment Vacancy Peak (2026–2027 Outlook)
U.S. multifamily vacancy rates are rising due to a surge in new apartment supply outpacing demand, with forecasts suggesting a potential peak around 2026–2027. However, measurement differences—especially the exclusion of lease‑up units—can significantly understate true vacancy levels, adding uncertainty to market timing. As supply pressures persist and absorption remains uneven, the multifamily housing market is entering a critical transition period where vacancy trends will vary by market and methodology.
